Poll gain for Coalition

October 19, 2007, 5:13pm,  191 views

The latest Galaxy poll shows that Labor’s lead in the two-party preferred stakes has fallen from 12 percent to six percent in just under four weeks.

I think it reflects a positive reaction to the government’s promise of tax cuts and a growing concern about change for change’s sake.

Make no mistake, John Howard has plenty of petrol left in the the tank and plenty of pork in the barrel.

My guess at this stage is that the polls will continue to show a narrowing of Labor’s lead before some erratic results start to show.

As for the final outcome, I’m predicting a cliffhanger. I won’t be surprised if Howard pulls off a surprise victory like Paul Keating in 1993.